Aircraft Economic Life Summit 2018 (eel)
08:00 - 23:59
Aircraft Economic Life Summit 2018 This course will provide the latest findings for both aviation specialists and for new entrants to commercial aviation. Highlights: ♦ How have Fleet Dynamics changed in the last 5 year ♦ Why demand will continue to outstrip supply & uphold useful lives ♦ The retirement cycle—the stats that matter ♦ How is the increase in widebody lease return being managed ♦ How to keep older aircraft flying – what are the issues ♦ Maintenance costs are becoming more critical in the ‘keep or part out’ decision— appraisers explain why ♦ Which engine types are in demand and which are falling out of favour ♦ Are import age restrictions changing? If so, how many aircraft are affected & what does this mean for economic lives and values Who should attend:Investors, Operators, Owners, Financiers, Traders of Commercial Aircraft, Lawyers, Lessors. Schedule 08.00 Registra"on & Tea Coffee 08.45 Chairman's Remarks—State of the IndustryChairman: Chris Tarry, Chief Execu"ve, CTAIRA09.00 Market Overview - Fleet Dynamics in the last 5 years—how have views on economic life changed?Moderator: Dick Forsberg, Head of Strategy, Avolon Konrad Blocher, Strategy & Risk Management, Goshawk Bert Van Leeuwen, MD, DVB Bank SE Philippe Pou"ssou, Head of Strategy & Marke"ng, Elix Avia"on Capital Ltd• The Narrowbody Market—key events & influences• The Widebody Market—what events are shapingtheir future?• The Regional Market—its all ac4on at the jet end—but what about the turboprops?10.00 The ‘Peak Produc"on’ Debate—The Impact on Economic Lives—DebateModerator: Steve Van der S"chele, Model Ownership & Methodologies, BarclaysRichard Owen Walker, Head of Investor Marke"ng, Airbus Shane Ma7hews, Head of Strategic & Market Analysis, SMBC Avia"on Capital• Two experts provide argument and counterargument.• Why current and an4cipated produc4on rates willreduce the economic lives of older aircra7• Why demand will con4nue to outstrip supply &uphold useful lives 10.45 Refreshment Break 11.10 The Avia"on Cycles - Presenta"onsModerator: Andy Carlisle, Chief Technical Officer,GoshawkRob Morris, Global Head of Consultancy, FlightAscendConsultancyEd Hansom, Chief Investment Officer, Sirius Avia"onCapital• The re4rement cycle—the stats that ma8er• Oil price—where is the price likely to head next andwhat does this mean for economic lives?• The Conversion cycle the Freighter bounceback isunderway. Which types will benefit and which oneswill miss out?11.45 The Secondary Market—Presenta"ons Moderator: Mar"n Browne, VP Commercial EMEA, Aergo CapitalStuart Flaye, Snr Consultant, Advisory, IshkaMark Lapidus, CEO, AmedeoJonathan Wober, Chief Financial Analyst, CAPA• What do recent Airline failures teach us? What happened to the fleets of Air Berlin, Monarch & others—a case study.• The increase in widebody lease returns—how arethey being managed?• Recent por=olio trading ac4vity has featured anincreasing percentage of older equipment—howdoes this influence economic lives? 12.40 Luncheon13.40 Keeping Older Aircra: Flying—What are the Issues &Implica"ons for the Secondary Market? Presenta"onsModerator: Ken O’Malley, Technical Records DeptManager, CAE Parc Avia"onBradley Gregory, Commercial Director, Air SalvageInterna"onal Speaker tba• What are the issues facing MRO facili4es—capacity,access to parts, type of work being required,reconfigura4on issues• What are the storage facili4es seeing—morestorage, more part out, or more returns to service?14.15 Aircra: Values & Maintenance Costs—Panel Debate Moderator: Dave Andrew, CEO ASL Airlines Africa & Asia, ASL Avia"on HoldingsOlga Razzhivina, Snr ISTAT Appraiser, OrielAmit Kumar Tyagi, CIO, Acumen Avia"onMike Yeomans, Head of Valua"ons, IBARomain Chambard, VP - Marke"ng Rolls-Royce Plc• Appraisers debate the recent movements in valuesof older aircra7—which are gaining and which arelosing and why?• Maintenance costs are becoming more cri4cal in the‘keep or part out’ decision—the appraisers explain why• Engine Care programmes and how they impact onasset value—the OEM position. 15.00 The Market for Engines & Spares—Panel DebateModerator: Bob James, MD & CEO, Aerfin Ltd Richard Hough, EVP Technical, ELFC Denise Mangan-Fahy, SVP PorEolio Planning & Opera"ons, GECAS David Rushe, Sales & Marke"ng Manager, Magellan Avia"on Group• Engine traders elaborate on the dynamics of thespare engine market• Which types are in demand and which are falling outof favour?• The spare parts market—what's hot and what's not16.10 Ageing Aircra: Policies—Presenta"onsMark Lynch, Head of Engineering, GECAS, also speaking on behalf of the Avia"on Working Group Chris Seymour, Head of Market Analysis, Flight Ascend Consultancy• How are various jurisdic4ons approaching the issueof ageing aircra7?• Are import age restric4ons changing? How manyaircra7 are affected & what does this mean for economic lives and values?16.50 The Lessors View—Panel DebateModerator: Keith Wilson, Head of Aircra: Finance, CMSEamonn Cronin, Director & Chief Commercial Officer, Acumen Avia"on Peter Blakeney, VP Aircra: Trading, Apollo Avia"on Mgmt Ltd Michael Dowling, Chief Risk Officer, DAE Capital Gareth Delany, Chief Technical Officer, Ping An Aircra: Leasing• Leasing companies & Asset Managers outline theirapproach to managing issues surrounding aircra7economic lives and ageing.17.30 Summary and Conclusion Speakers Ken O’Malley Head of Technical Records, CAE Parc Aviation Richard Owen Walker Head of Investor Marketing, Airbus Philippe Poutissou Head of Strategy and Marketing, Elix Aviation Capital Ltd Jonathan Wober Chief Financial Analyst, CAPA Stuart Flaye Consultant, Ishka Gareth Delany Executive Director/Chief Technical Officer, Ping An Aircraft Leasing Mark Lynch Head of Engineering, GECAS also speaking on behalf of the Aviation Working Group Keith Wilson Head of Aircraft Finance and Partner in the Asset Finance Team, CMS Cameron McKenna Nabarro Olswang LLP Amit Tyai Chief Intelligence Officer, Acumen Aviation Peter Blakeney VP, Aircraft Trading , Apollo Aviation Management Ltd Bert Van Leeuwen MD, Aviation Research, DVB Bank SE Ed Hansom Chief Investment Officer, Sirius Aviation Capital Chris Seymour Head of Market Analysis, Flight Ascend Consultancy Romain Chambard VP Marketing, Rolls-Royce Plc Bob James MD, Aerfin Ltd Eamonn Cronin Director & Chief Commercial Officer, Acumen Aviation Denise Manghan-Fahy SVP Portfolio Planning & Operations, GE Capital Aviation Services Shane Matthews Head of Strategic & Market Analysis, SMBC Aviation Capital Mike Yeomans Head of Valuations, IBA Bradley Gregory CEO, Air Salvage International Ltd Dick Forsberg Head of Strategy, Avolon Olga Razzhivina Senior ISTAT Appraiser, Oriel Rob Morris Global Head of Consultancy, Flight Ascend Consultancy David Rushe Sales & Marketing Manager, Magellan Aviation Group Michael Dowling Chief Risk Officer, DAE Capital Richard Hough EVP Technical, ELFC Konrad Blocher Strategy & Risk, Goshawk Please contact the event manager Marilyn (marilyn.b.turner(at)nyeventslist.com ) below for: - Multiple participant discounts - Price quotations or visa invitation letters - Payment by alternate channels (PayPal, check, Western Union, wire transfers etc) - Event sponsorship NO REFUNDS ALLOWED ON REGISTRATIONS Prices may go up any time. 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